Sep 2

Like most government programs, FHASecure is not having the results that were intended. That means it’s not effective at saving Ohio homeowners who have fallen on hard times after their adjustable rate (ARMs) reset – and here’s my top three reasons why.

  1. The program continues baseline FHA requirements, including the stipulation that mortgage payments must be timely BEFORE the borrower’s teaser rate expired and loans reset. They also want to see good credit otherwise – credit cards, auto loans, etc. Easy enough, right? Here’s the rub: Americans have been taught for years that the LAST thing to pay late is the mortgage. If you fall on hard times, push a credit card payment but NEVER be late on your mortgage. So many of the people who would be helped by this program have already made late payments due to hard economic times before ever running late on a mortgage payment. So they, in fact, get turned down on this program.
  2. The interest rate environment is not generally increasing ARM payments on reset. That’s a little known secret the mortgage industry has been less-than-forthcoming about - reset interest rates are roughly equal or lower so your payment might actually become less than while in the “fixed” period of their ARM. So this program is creating an unnecessary incentive for the middle class to “let go” in the struggle to rising living expenses. Faced with the stigma of late mortgage payments, most would probably continue the juggling act as they wait for better economic times.
  3. The equity requirements of FHA are not going away - in fact, as of Oct 1, they increase to 3.5% - whether purchase down payment or refinance equity. That’s a huge problem for people living on the edge, financially. Think about it. If Joe Six-pack is having trouble making his house payment, chances are he has other debt and little home equity. So many of our customers who need FHASecure, don’t qualify because they don’t have enough equity.

For these reasons, I can’t understand why the program is offered. It’s either poorly conceived or a political gimmick – I suspect some of each.  In fact, our firm has not been able to close one of these loans.  They have all been rejected for one reason or another.  And we’ve been able to help some of the people through other means.

For my readers who are not familiar with FHASecure, the program was announced by President Bush in early 2008 to help ease the mortgage crisis. Like all FHA loans:

  • underwriting takes into account the borrowers’ ability to repay,
  • fixed rates are overtly promoted,
  • escrow of taxes and insurance are required,
  • real human appraisals are required,
  • full-documentation is critical,
  • mortgage insurance is included, and
  • there is gads of foreclosure prevention assistance.

FHASecure is available for loans that reset between June 2005 and December 2009.  So there is still time for this program to kick in and help families in Ohio.  I hope it helps.

Jan 22

The Federal Reserve Bank cut the federal funds rate to 3.5% this morning before markets opened. This was obviously and openly in response to stock markets around the world ‘in panic’ or ‘crashing’ over the last four days.

Here’s how the Fed couched it’s latest action (emphasis mine):

The Committee took this action in view of a weakening of the economic outlook and increasing downside risks to growth. While strains in short-term funding markets have eased somewhat, broader financial market conditions have continued to deteriorate and credit has tightened further for some businesses and households. Moreover, incoming information indicates a deepening of the housing contraction as well as some softening in labor markets.

Fed rate chartFed Policy Statement on Surprise 75BP Rate Cut

What those who have an interest in real estate should remember is the Fed controls short-term interbank rates - not mortgage rates. While there is a trickle-down effect to consumers with variable rate consumer debt (think credit cards and home equity lines), Fed rate cuts generally send mortgage rates higher.

Surprisingly, mortgage bond trading has been positive, though. Retail fixed rates for prime borrowers have been reported as low as 5.5%. So the combined effect right now is positive as borrowers have lower debt service and lower mortgage rates. Time will tell, but I firmly believe pricing will worsen as the market digest this unusual move. The news is extremely inflationary and will eventually send rates higher.

The other piece of the puzzle that I think will send rates higher is that the domestic bond market relies heavily on foreign central banks and investors. If those banks are rushing to save their own markets/economies, how much will they have to invest in US markets that are conservatively described as defective? So if demand falls, prices fall and yields/mortgage rates are forced upward.

Dec 17

Usually homeowners refinance to save money, either by obtaining a lower interest rate or by reducing the term of their mortgage. Many borrowers now are refinancing to move from an adjustable (ARM) loan to a fixed rate. Another popular option Read the rest of this entry »

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